Points: 51 · FPL avg: 46 · vs avg: +5 · Cumulative: +195 · Predicted: 65.2 xPts · Chip: — · Hits: 0 · Bank: £3.4m · FT: 1
The model projected 65.2 xPts but the squad returned only 51, with widespread underperformance driven largely by a Haaland blank — the captaincy pick yielded just 2 points against an expectation of 6.8, costing roughly 9 points net compared to the projected captain haul. Tavernier was the standout outlier in the other direction, doubling his xPts projection with 11 actual points, but he was the only player to meaningfully beat his forecast. Despite the model’s optimism falling flat, a week free of transfers and chips still cleared the FPL average by five points, maintaining a solid cumulative margin of +195.
(No transfers this week.)
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel | DEF | 5.7 | 9 |
| Calafiori | DEF | 4.4 | 6 |
| Senesi | DEF | 6.0 | 5 |
| Semenyo (vc) | MID | 6.2 | 3 |
| Tavernier | MID | 5.3 | 11 |
| Anthony | MID | 4.7 | 2 |
| Mateta | FWD | 4.9 | 2 |
| Haaland © (×2) | FWD | 6.8 | 2 |
| B.Fernandes | MID | 5.5 | 4 |
| Pope | GKP | 4.5 | 3 |
| Anderson | MID | 4.5 | 2 |
| Total | 58.4 | 49 |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pickford | GKP | 3.6 | 1 |
| Mukiele | DEF | 3.6 | 2 |
| Richarlison | FWD | 3.0 | 4 |
| Andersen | DEF | 1.0 | 0 |
| GW | Chip | xPts | Actual | Avg | vs Avg | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | 57.3 | 82 | 54 | +28 | +28 |
| 2 | FH | 80.5 | 57 | 51 | +6 | +34 |
| 3 | WC | 72.8 | 60 | 48 | +12 | +46 |
| 4 | BB | 66.5 | 97 | 63 | +34 | +80 |
| 5 | — | 60.0 | 70 | 42 | +28 | +108 |
| 6 | — | 68.1 | 49 | 46 | +3 | +111 |
| 7 | TC | 70.2 | 92 | 60 | +32 | +143 |
| 8 | — | 66.2 | 103 | 56 | +47 | +190 |
| 9 | — | 65.2 | 51 | 46 | +5 | +195 |
| Total | 606.7 | 661 | 466 | +195 |