Points: 75 · FPL avg: 65 · vs avg: +10 · Cumulative: +205 · Predicted: 63.8 xPts · Chip: — · Hits: 0 · Bank: £3.4m · FT: 2
The model predicted 63.8 points and the squad returned 75, an 11-point beat driven primarily by Gabriel’s 12-point haul against a xPts of 5.3 — almost certainly a goal or assist on top of a clean sheet with bonus. Haaland validated the captaincy with 13 points against his 7.5 xPts projection, providing the reliable ceiling the armband requires. The main drag came from the midfield, where Semenyo, Anthony, and Mukiele all returned 1–2 points against xPts of 3.6–5.1, but the defensive overperformance more than compensated, pushing the weekly margin to +10 over the FPL average and extending the cumulative lead to +205.
(No transfers this week.)
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel | DEF | 5.3 | 12 |
| Calafiori | DEF | 4.1 | 6 |
| Semenyo | MID | 5.1 | 2 |
| Anthony | MID | 3.6 | 2 |
| Mateta (vc) | FWD | 6.4 | 9 |
| Pickford | GKP | 4.3 | 2 |
| Andersen | DEF | 4.5 | 6 |
| Haaland © (×2) | FWD | 7.5 | 13 |
| B.Fernandes | MID | 6.4 | 5 |
| Anderson | MID | 4.1 | 4 |
| Mukiele | DEF | 5.1 | 1 |
| Total | 56.3 | 62 |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pope | GKP | 4.2 | 3 |
| Tavernier | MID | 3.6 | 2 |
| Senesi | DEF | 3.1 | 3 |
| Richarlison | FWD | 2.9 | 1 |
| GW | Chip | xPts | Actual | Avg | vs Avg | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | 57.3 | 82 | 54 | +28 | +28 |
| 2 | FH | 80.5 | 57 | 51 | +6 | +34 |
| 3 | WC | 72.8 | 60 | 48 | +12 | +46 |
| 4 | BB | 66.5 | 97 | 63 | +34 | +80 |
| 5 | — | 60.0 | 70 | 42 | +28 | +108 |
| 6 | — | 68.1 | 49 | 46 | +3 | +111 |
| 7 | TC | 70.2 | 92 | 60 | +32 | +143 |
| 8 | — | 66.2 | 103 | 56 | +47 | +190 |
| 9 | — | 65.2 | 51 | 46 | +5 | +195 |
| 10 | — | 63.8 | 75 | 65 | +10 | +205 |
| Total | 670.5 | 736 | 531 | +205 |