Points: 87 · FPL avg: 40 · vs avg: +47 · Cumulative: +426 · Predicted: 64.6 xPts · Chip: — · Hits: 0 · Bank: £4.8m · FT: 2
The model predicted 64.6 points and the squad delivered 87, a 22-point beat driven largely by the captain call — Gabriel returned 15 points on a 7.3 xPts projection, and the transfer from Calafiori to land him paid off immediately. Defensive overperformance was the broader theme: Mukiele (11 vs 5.7 predicted) and Pickford (10 vs 5.7) both punched well above expectation, while Collins chipped in 9 as vice. The drag came from the attack — Thiago, Ekitiké, and Schade combined for 7 actual against a projected 13.8 — but with a 47-point beat on the average and no chip spent, this was a near-optimal GW.
| Player | Pos | Cost | xPts | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Gabriel | DEF | £6.3m | 7.3 | 15 |
| OUT | Calafiori | DEF | £5.7m | — | — |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel © (×2) | DEF | 7.3 | 15 |
| Saka | MID | 4.8 | 6 |
| Collins (vc) | DEF | 6.1 | 9 |
| Schade | MID | 5.2 | 3 |
| Thiago | FWD | 4.1 | 2 |
| Pickford | GKP | 5.7 | 10 |
| Foden | MID | 3.6 | 3 |
| Anderson | MID | 5.1 | 4 |
| Bowen | FWD | 5.2 | 7 |
| Ekitiké | FWD | 4.5 | 2 |
| Mukiele | DEF | 5.7 | 11 |
| Total | 57.3 | 72 |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verbruggen | GKP | 3.0 | 1 |
| Rice | MID | 3.5 | 0 |
| Andersen | DEF | 3.3 | 3 |
| Truffert | DEF | 3.0 | 3 |
| GW | Chip | xPts | Actual | Avg | vs Avg | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | 57.3 | 82 | 54 | +28 | +28 |
| 2 | FH | 80.5 | 57 | 51 | +6 | +34 |
| 3 | WC | 72.8 | 60 | 48 | +12 | +46 |
| 4 | BB | 66.5 | 97 | 63 | +34 | +80 |
| 5 | — | 60.0 | 70 | 42 | +28 | +108 |
| 6 | — | 68.1 | 49 | 46 | +3 | +111 |
| 7 | TC | 70.2 | 92 | 60 | +32 | +143 |
| 8 | — | 66.2 | 103 | 56 | +47 | +190 |
| 9 | — | 65.2 | 51 | 46 | +5 | +195 |
| 10 | — | 63.8 | 75 | 65 | +10 | +205 |
| 11 | — | 59.9 | 53 | 38 | +15 | +220 |
| 12 | — | 64.6 | 58 | 39 | +19 | +239 |
| 13 | — | 64.2 | 67 | 35 | +32 | +271 |
| 14 | — | 63.8 | 45 | 58 | -13 | +258 |
| 15 | — | 68.9 | 94 | 49 | +45 | +303 |
| 16 | — | 71.0 | 80 | 60 | +20 | +323 |
| 17 | — | 69.4 | 82 | 66 | +16 | +339 |
| 18 | — | 64.4 | 84 | 44 | +40 | +379 |
| 19 | — | 64.6 | 87 | 40 | +47 | +426 |
| Total | 1261.2 | 1386 | 960 | +426 |