Points: 47 · FPL avg: 58 · vs avg: -11 · Cumulative: +568 · Predicted: 63.4 xPts · Chip: — · Hits: 0 · Bank: £9.0m · FT: 1
The model over-predicted by 16.4 points as the squad fell 11 below the FPL average, with the damage concentrated in the defensive line — Andersen, Ballard, and particularly Bowen (7.0 xPts, 2 actual) all badly underperformed their projections. Gabriel returned a modest 6 points as captain, a workable if unspectacular outcome given his 7.1 xPts projection, while the week’s bright spot was Rogers who outpaced his 6.0 xPts forecast with 10 actual points, validating the Schade swap. No chip was deployed, and the cumulative cushion of +568 vs average remains healthy despite the rough week.
| Player | Pos | Cost | xPts | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Rogers | MID | £7.6m | 6.0 | 10 |
| OUT | Schade | MID | £7.0m | — | — |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel © (×2) | DEF | 7.1 | 6 |
| Rice | MID | 6.7 | 5 |
| Rogers | MID | 6.0 | 10 |
| Semenyo | MID | 4.1 | 2 |
| Thiago | FWD | 4.3 | 5 |
| Verbruggen | GKP | 3.7 | 3 |
| Neto | MID | 4.2 | 2 |
| Andersen | DEF | 4.2 | 1 |
| Anderson | MID | 5.1 | 4 |
| Ballard | DEF | 3.8 | 1 |
| Bowen (vc) | FWD | 7.0 | 2 |
| Total | 56.2 | 41 |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pickford | GKP | 3.4 | 2 |
| Šeško | FWD | 4.0 | 1 |
| Thiaw | DEF | 3.5 | 1 |
| Mukiele | DEF | 2.5 | 1 |
| GW | Chip | xPts | Actual | Avg | vs Avg | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | 57.3 | 82 | 54 | +28 | +28 |
| 2 | FH | 80.5 | 57 | 51 | +6 | +34 |
| 3 | WC | 72.8 | 60 | 48 | +12 | +46 |
| 4 | BB | 66.5 | 97 | 63 | +34 | +80 |
| 5 | — | 60.0 | 70 | 42 | +28 | +108 |
| 6 | — | 68.1 | 49 | 46 | +3 | +111 |
| 7 | TC | 70.2 | 92 | 60 | +32 | +143 |
| 8 | — | 66.2 | 103 | 56 | +47 | +190 |
| 9 | — | 65.2 | 51 | 46 | +5 | +195 |
| 10 | — | 63.8 | 75 | 65 | +10 | +205 |
| 11 | — | 59.9 | 53 | 38 | +15 | +220 |
| 12 | — | 64.6 | 58 | 39 | +19 | +239 |
| 13 | — | 64.2 | 67 | 35 | +32 | +271 |
| 14 | — | 63.8 | 45 | 58 | -13 | +258 |
| 15 | — | 68.9 | 94 | 49 | +45 | +303 |
| 16 | — | 71.0 | 80 | 60 | +20 | +323 |
| 17 | — | 69.4 | 82 | 66 | +16 | +339 |
| 18 | — | 64.4 | 84 | 44 | +40 | +379 |
| 19 | — | 64.6 | 87 | 40 | +47 | +426 |
| 20 | — | 77.6 | 122 | 42 | +80 | +506 |
| 21 | — | 80.1 | 87 | 48 | +39 | +545 |
| 22 | — | 57.8 | 56 | 40 | +16 | +561 |
| 23 | — | 64.7 | 58 | 44 | +14 | +575 |
| 24 | — | 63.7 | 59 | 55 | +4 | +579 |
| 25 | — | 63.4 | 47 | 58 | -11 | +568 |
| Total | 1668.6 | 1815 | 1247 | +568 |