Points: 57 · FPL avg: 51 · vs avg: +6 · Cumulative: +34 · Predicted: 80.5 xPts · Chip: FH · Hits: 0 · Bank: £16.0m · FT: 1
The Free Hit chip freed up a full squad rebuild that the model priced at 80.5 xPts, but a string of defensive blanks — Schär, Murillo, and Hume each returning 1 or fewer — dragged actual output down to 57, a 23-point shortfall driven largely by the model’s optimism on clean sheet probability. Reijnders was the worst outcome in the wrong place, returning just 2 points from an 8.6 xPts captain slot, while Eze compounded the damage with a zero. João Pedro (15 pts) and Diakité (10 pts) both outperformed their projections and kept the week respectable, landing 6 above the FPL average despite the captain miss.
| Player | Pos | Cost | xPts | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Raya | GKP | £5.5m | 4.6 | 6 |
| IN | Semenyo | MID | £7.1m | 5.4 | 6 |
| IN | Thiago | FWD | £6.0m | 5.3 | 2 |
| IN | Dewsbury-Hall | MID | £5.0m | 7.8 | 2 |
| IN | João Pedro | FWD | £7.5m | 6.5 | 15 |
| IN | Eze | MID | £7.5m | 6.8 | 0 |
| IN | Bobb | MID | £5.5m | 6.8 | 2 |
| IN | Schär | DEF | £5.5m | 6.2 | 1 |
| IN | Murillo | DEF | £5.5m | 5.9 | 1 |
| IN | Hume | DEF | £4.5m | 5.2 | 1 |
| IN | Agbadou | DEF | £4.5m | 5.3 | 4 |
| IN | Diakité | DEF | £4.5m | 5.3 | 10 |
| OUT | Banel | MID | £4.5m | — | — |
| OUT | Henderson | GKP | £5.0m | — | — |
| OUT | Reed | MID | £4.5m | — | — |
| OUT | Bogle | DEF | £4.5m | — | — |
| OUT | Robertson | DEF | £6.0m | — | — |
| OUT | Dalot | DEF | £4.5m | — | — |
| OUT | Hall | DEF | £5.5m | — | — |
| OUT | L.Miley | MID | £4.5m | — | — |
| OUT | Ballard | DEF | £4.6m | — | — |
| OUT | Kudus | MID | £6.5m | — | — |
| OUT | Richarlison | FWD | £6.6m | — | — |
| OUT | Gyökeres | FWD | £9.0m | — | — |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Semenyo | MID | 5.4 | 6 |
| Kelleher | GKP | 5.7 | 5 |
| Dewsbury-Hall (vc) | MID | 7.8 | 2 |
| João Pedro | FWD | 6.5 | 15 |
| Eze | MID | 6.8 | 0 |
| Bobb | MID | 6.8 | 2 |
| Reijnders © (×2) | MID | 8.6 | 2 |
| Schär | DEF | 6.2 | 1 |
| Murillo | DEF | 5.9 | 1 |
| Ekitiké | FWD | 7.0 | 9 |
| Diakité | DEF | 5.3 | 10 |
| Total | 71.9 | 53 |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raya | GKP | 4.6 | 6 |
| Thiago ↑ | FWD | 5.3 | 2 |
| Agbadou | DEF | 5.3 | 4 |
| Hume | DEF | 5.2 | 1 |
| GW | Chip | xPts | Actual | Avg | vs Avg | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | 57.3 | 82 | 54 | +28 | +28 |
| 2 | FH | 80.5 | 57 | 51 | +6 | +34 |