Points: 84 · FPL avg: 44 · vs avg: +40 · Cumulative: +379 · Predicted: 64.4 xPts · Chip: — · Hits: 0 · Bank: £5.5m · FT: 2
The model predicted 64.4 points but the squad returned 84, with the gap almost entirely explained by Schade’s 20-point haul — nearly three times his 7.2 xPts — doubled to 40 via the captaincy, turning what looked like a modest week on paper into a +40 vs average result. The B.Fernandes-to-Schade transfer proved the decisive move of the gameweek, netting a free hit on xPts differential that single-handedly justified the switch. Outside the captaincy windfall, the rest of the XI broadly underperformed their projections — Calafiori blanked against a 4.1 xPts model, Foden and Bowen combined for 4 points off an expected 9.1 — though an auto-sub of Thiago (5 pts) partially offset the bench deadweight.
| Player | Pos | Cost | xPts | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Schade | MID | £7.0m | 7.2 | 20 |
| OUT | B.Fernandes | MID | £9.2m | — | — |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calafiori | DEF | 4.1 | 0 |
| Saka | MID | 4.6 | 7 |
| Rice | MID | 6.3 | 5 |
| Collins | DEF | 4.6 | 4 |
| Schade © (×2) | MID | 7.2 | 20 |
| Pickford | GKP | 5.7 | 6 |
| Andersen | DEF | 4.6 | 5 |
| Foden | MID | 4.2 | 2 |
| Anderson | MID | 4.6 | 3 |
| Bowen | FWD | 4.9 | 2 |
| Ekitiké (vc) | FWD | 6.5 | 5 |
| Total | 57.2 | 59 |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verbruggen | GKP | 2.5 | 1 |
| Thiago ↑ | FWD | 4.0 | 5 |
| Truffert | DEF | 4.0 | 1 |
| Mukiele | DEF | 3.8 | 4 |
| GW | Chip | xPts | Actual | Avg | vs Avg | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | 57.3 | 82 | 54 | +28 | +28 |
| 2 | FH | 80.5 | 57 | 51 | +6 | +34 |
| 3 | WC | 72.8 | 60 | 48 | +12 | +46 |
| 4 | BB | 66.5 | 97 | 63 | +34 | +80 |
| 5 | — | 60.0 | 70 | 42 | +28 | +108 |
| 6 | — | 68.1 | 49 | 46 | +3 | +111 |
| 7 | TC | 70.2 | 92 | 60 | +32 | +143 |
| 8 | — | 66.2 | 103 | 56 | +47 | +190 |
| 9 | — | 65.2 | 51 | 46 | +5 | +195 |
| 10 | — | 63.8 | 75 | 65 | +10 | +205 |
| 11 | — | 59.9 | 53 | 38 | +15 | +220 |
| 12 | — | 64.6 | 58 | 39 | +19 | +239 |
| 13 | — | 64.2 | 67 | 35 | +32 | +271 |
| 14 | — | 63.8 | 45 | 58 | -13 | +258 |
| 15 | — | 68.9 | 94 | 49 | +45 | +303 |
| 16 | — | 71.0 | 80 | 60 | +20 | +323 |
| 17 | — | 69.4 | 82 | 66 | +16 | +339 |
| 18 | — | 64.4 | 84 | 44 | +40 | +379 |
| Total | 1196.6 | 1299 | 920 | +379 |