Points: 69 · FPL avg: 46 · vs avg: +23 · Cumulative: +654 · Predicted: 29.8 xPts · Chip: — · Hits: 1 · Bank: £7.2m · FT: 1
The model was flying blind on much of this squad — with xPts 0.0 across six starters, the 29.8 prediction bore little resemblance to reality, and the actual 69 points was powered by Bowen (14), Thiago (13), and O’Reilly (14) all delivering in a gameweek the model couldn’t properly evaluate. The captain pick was the main drag: Rice returned just 4 points when doubled, leaving significant value on the table given O’Reilly’s haul as vice. The one hit for O’Reilly justified itself handsomely at 14 points net of the penalty, though Alderete’s stranded 8 on the bench was a minor frustration in an otherwise strong +23 week.
| Player | Pos | Cost | xPts | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Lacroix | DEF | £5.1m | 4.6 | 4 |
| IN | O’Reilly | DEF | £5.0m | 4.9 | 14 |
| OUT | Virgil | DEF | £6.3m | — | — |
| OUT | Ballard | DEF | £4.7m | — | — |
1 hit(s) taken (-4 pts)
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel | DEF | 3.9 | 4 |
| J.Timber | DEF | 2.4 | 0 |
| Rice © (×2) | MID | 5.0 | 4 |
| Lacroix | DEF | 4.6 | 4 |
| O’Reilly (vc) | DEF | 4.9 | 14 |
| José Sá | GKP | 3.9 | 1 |
| Thiago | FWD | 0.0 | 13 |
| Enzo | MID | 0.0 | 0 |
| Szoboszlai | MID | 0.0 | 5 |
| Bowen | FWD | 0.0 | 14 |
| Calvert-Lewin | FWD | 0.0 | 2 |
| Total | 24.8 | 61 |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| A.Becker | GKP | 0.0 | 0 |
| B.Fernandes ↑ | MID | 0.0 | 4 |
| Anderson ↑ | MID | 0.0 | 4 |
| Alderete | DEF | 0.0 | 8 |
| GW | Chip | xPts | Actual | Avg | vs Avg | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | 57.3 | 82 | 54 | +28 | +28 |
| 2 | FH | 80.5 | 57 | 51 | +6 | +34 |
| 3 | WC | 72.8 | 60 | 48 | +12 | +46 |
| 4 | BB | 66.5 | 97 | 63 | +34 | +80 |
| 5 | — | 60.0 | 70 | 42 | +28 | +108 |
| 6 | — | 68.1 | 49 | 46 | +3 | +111 |
| 7 | TC | 70.2 | 92 | 60 | +32 | +143 |
| 8 | — | 66.2 | 103 | 56 | +47 | +190 |
| 9 | — | 65.2 | 51 | 46 | +5 | +195 |
| 10 | — | 63.8 | 75 | 65 | +10 | +205 |
| 11 | — | 59.9 | 53 | 38 | +15 | +220 |
| 12 | — | 64.6 | 58 | 39 | +19 | +239 |
| 13 | — | 64.2 | 67 | 35 | +32 | +271 |
| 14 | — | 63.8 | 45 | 58 | -13 | +258 |
| 15 | — | 68.9 | 94 | 49 | +45 | +303 |
| 16 | — | 71.0 | 80 | 60 | +20 | +323 |
| 17 | — | 69.4 | 82 | 66 | +16 | +339 |
| 18 | — | 64.4 | 84 | 44 | +40 | +379 |
| 19 | — | 64.6 | 87 | 40 | +47 | +426 |
| 20 | — | 77.6 | 122 | 42 | +80 | +506 |
| 21 | — | 80.1 | 87 | 48 | +39 | +545 |
| 22 | — | 57.8 | 56 | 40 | +16 | +561 |
| 23 | — | 64.7 | 58 | 44 | +14 | +575 |
| 24 | — | 63.7 | 59 | 55 | +4 | +579 |
| 25 | — | 63.4 | 47 | 58 | -11 | +568 |
| 26 | WC | 109.2 | 85 | 58 | +27 | +595 |
| 27 | — | 73.6 | 50 | 45 | +5 | +600 |
| 28 | — | 66.2 | 64 | 53 | +11 | +611 |
| 29 | — | 64.5 | 65 | 54 | +11 | +622 |
| 30 | — | 55.5 | 57 | 43 | +14 | +636 |
| 31 | — | 63.0 | 33 | 38 | -5 | +631 |
| 32 | — | 29.8 | 69 | 46 | +23 | +654 |
| Total | 2130.4 | 2238 | 1584 | +654 |