Points: 94 · FPL avg: 49 · vs avg: +45 · Cumulative: +303 · Predicted: 68.9 xPts · Chip: — · Hits: 0 · Bank: £4.9m · FT: 2
The model projected 68.9 xPts but the squad delivered 94, a 36% outperformance driven largely by the captain pick — Fernandes returned 18 points, more than doubling his predicted 8.6 and contributing 36 to the total once captaincy multiplier is applied. The Foden transfer from Pope proved well-timed, with Foden beating his 8.0 xPts projection at 12, while Bowen and Senesi also exceeded expectations at 9 and 8 respectively against sub-6 projections. The main drag was Andersen, who blanked at 1 against a predicted 4.5, but the bench was inconsequential and the +45 vs average result lifted the cumulative margin to +303.
| Player | Pos | Cost | xPts | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Verbruggen | GKP | £4.4m | 4.5 | 3 |
| IN | Foden | MID | £8.4m | 8.0 | 12 |
| OUT | Tavernier | MID | £5.5m | — | — |
| OUT | Pope | GKP | £5.1m | — | — |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saka | MID | 4.5 | 4 |
| Rice | MID | 5.1 | 6 |
| Senesi | DEF | 5.0 | 8 |
| Truffert | DEF | 4.6 | 6 |
| Thiago | FWD | 4.4 | 2 |
| Pickford | GKP | 5.0 | 6 |
| Andersen | DEF | 4.5 | 1 |
| Foden (vc) | MID | 8.0 | 12 |
| B.Fernandes © (×2) | MID | 8.6 | 18 |
| Anderson | MID | 5.3 | 4 |
| Bowen | FWD | 5.3 | 9 |
| Total | 60.3 | 76 |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verbruggen | GKP | 4.5 | 3 |
| Calafiori | DEF | 4.2 | 1 |
| Mateta | FWD | 3.7 | 2 |
| Mukiele | DEF | 3.2 | 1 |
| GW | Chip | xPts | Actual | Avg | vs Avg | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | 57.3 | 82 | 54 | +28 | +28 |
| 2 | FH | 80.5 | 57 | 51 | +6 | +34 |
| 3 | WC | 72.8 | 60 | 48 | +12 | +46 |
| 4 | BB | 66.5 | 97 | 63 | +34 | +80 |
| 5 | — | 60.0 | 70 | 42 | +28 | +108 |
| 6 | — | 68.1 | 49 | 46 | +3 | +111 |
| 7 | TC | 70.2 | 92 | 60 | +32 | +143 |
| 8 | — | 66.2 | 103 | 56 | +47 | +190 |
| 9 | — | 65.2 | 51 | 46 | +5 | +195 |
| 10 | — | 63.8 | 75 | 65 | +10 | +205 |
| 11 | — | 59.9 | 53 | 38 | +15 | +220 |
| 12 | — | 64.6 | 58 | 39 | +19 | +239 |
| 13 | — | 64.2 | 67 | 35 | +32 | +271 |
| 14 | — | 63.8 | 45 | 58 | -13 | +258 |
| 15 | — | 68.9 | 94 | 49 | +45 | +303 |
| Total | 991.9 | 1053 | 750 | +303 |