Points: 67 · FPL avg: 35 · vs avg: +32 · Cumulative: +271 · Predicted: 64.2 xPts · Chip: — · Hits: 0 · Bank: £7.1m · FT: 1
The model called this gameweek well, predicting 64.2 xPts against an actual return of 67, with the small gap driven by Thiago outperforming his 8.7 projection with 13 points — making the Richarlison swap and captaincy decision the standout calls of the week. B.Fernandes added further upside at 11 vs 6.9 xPts, but the gains were partially clipped by Bowen (2 vs 5.5) and Mukiele blanking on a 3.5 projection. A 32-point beat on the FPL average without a chip in play is a strong return, pushing the cumulative edge to +271.
| Player | Pos | Cost | xPts | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Thiago | FWD | £6.6m | 8.7 | 13 |
| OUT | Richarlison | FWD | £6.4m | — | — |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saka | MID | 4.9 | 5 |
| Rice | MID | 5.3 | 4 |
| Senesi | DEF | 4.2 | 2 |
| Thiago © (×2) | FWD | 8.7 | 13 |
| Mateta | FWD | 4.9 | 6 |
| Pickford | GKP | 3.2 | 1 |
| Andersen | DEF | 3.6 | 4 |
| B.Fernandes (vc) | MID | 6.9 | 11 |
| Anderson | MID | 4.9 | 6 |
| Bowen | FWD | 5.5 | 2 |
| Mukiele | DEF | 3.5 | 0 |
| Total | 55.6 | 54 |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pope | GKP | 3.0 | 0 |
| Tavernier | MID | 4.8 | 1 |
| Truffert | DEF | 3.5 | 1 |
| Calafiori | DEF | 3.0 | 0 |
| GW | Chip | xPts | Actual | Avg | vs Avg | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | 57.3 | 82 | 54 | +28 | +28 |
| 2 | FH | 80.5 | 57 | 51 | +6 | +34 |
| 3 | WC | 72.8 | 60 | 48 | +12 | +46 |
| 4 | BB | 66.5 | 97 | 63 | +34 | +80 |
| 5 | — | 60.0 | 70 | 42 | +28 | +108 |
| 6 | — | 68.1 | 49 | 46 | +3 | +111 |
| 7 | TC | 70.2 | 92 | 60 | +32 | +143 |
| 8 | — | 66.2 | 103 | 56 | +47 | +190 |
| 9 | — | 65.2 | 51 | 46 | +5 | +195 |
| 10 | — | 63.8 | 75 | 65 | +10 | +205 |
| 11 | — | 59.9 | 53 | 38 | +15 | +220 |
| 12 | — | 64.6 | 58 | 39 | +19 | +239 |
| 13 | — | 64.2 | 67 | 35 | +32 | +271 |
| Total | 859.2 | 914 | 643 | +271 |