Points: 82 · FPL avg: 54 · vs avg: +28 · Cumulative: +28 · Predicted: 57.3 xPts · Chip: — · Hits: 0 · Bank: £16.0m · FT: 0
The model predicted 57.3 points but the squad delivered 82, a 25-point beat driven by Ballard’s 17-point haul and double-digit returns from Richarlison and Ekitiké — three players the model assigned near-identical mid-4s xPts, suggesting it correctly identified attacking upside but underestimated the variance in a season opener. Captain Henderson returned a modest 6 points, leaving significant value on the table given Ballard’s explosive performance, though the captaincy call was defensible given pre-GW information. Auto-subs did real work — Reijnders and Kudus each hit 10 after covering for blankers Banel and Reed — while Gyökeres, a notable xPts pick at 4.5, disappointed with just 1 point.
(No transfers this week.)
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Banel | MID | 4.7 | 0 |
| Henderson © (×2) | GKP | 5.2 | 6 |
| Reed | MID | 3.5 | 0 |
| Bogle | DEF | 4.9 | 6 |
| Robertson | DEF | 5.0 | 0 |
| Dalot | DEF | 5.0 | 1 |
| Hall (vc) | DEF | 5.2 | 0 |
| Ballard | DEF | 4.9 | 17 |
| Richarlison | FWD | 4.4 | 13 |
| Ekitiké | FWD | 4.9 | 11 |
| Gyökeres | FWD | 4.5 | 1 |
| Total | 52.0 | 55 |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kelleher | GKP | 4.1 | 1 |
| Reijnders ↑ | MID | 3.2 | 10 |
| Kudus ↑ | MID | 3.1 | 10 |
| L.Miley ↑ | MID | 3.1 | 1 |
| GW | Chip | xPts | Actual | Avg | vs Avg | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | 57.3 | 82 | 54 | +28 | +28 |