Points: 53 · FPL avg: 38 · vs avg: +15 · Cumulative: +220 · Predicted: 59.9 xPts · Chip: — · Hits: 0 · Bank: £7.0m · FT: 2
The model overshot by nearly 7 points, with the defensive core largely responsible — Gabriel, Calafiori, and Senesi combined for just 4 actual points against a projected 11.4, and Bowen’s blank (2 pts on a 5.8 xPts projection) made the Haaland swap look premature. The captaincy call on Saka was the standout decision, delivering 12 points and anchoring a score that still finished +15 on the week despite the underperformance elsewhere. The bench added insult with Pickford (7) and Richarlison (6) both outscoring the majority of starters, though the cumulative lead of +220 suggests the model’s squad construction remains sound at a structural level.
| Player | Pos | Cost | xPts | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Saka | MID | £10.1m | 6.9 | 12 |
| IN | Bowen | FWD | £7.7m | 5.8 | 2 |
| OUT | Semenyo | MID | £8.1m | — | — |
| OUT | Haaland | FWD | £14.8m | — | — |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel | DEF | 4.0 | 1 |
| Calafiori | DEF | 3.7 | 1 |
| Saka © (×2) | MID | 6.9 | 12 |
| Senesi | DEF | 3.7 | 2 |
| Tavernier | MID | 4.0 | 2 |
| Anthony | MID | 3.8 | 2 |
| Mateta | FWD | 4.9 | 2 |
| B.Fernandes | MID | 5.4 | 5 |
| Pope | GKP | 4.0 | 3 |
| Anderson (vc) | MID | 6.8 | 9 |
| Bowen | FWD | 5.8 | 2 |
| Total | 53.0 | 41 |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pickford | GKP | 3.9 | 7 |
| Richarlison | FWD | 3.7 | 6 |
| Mukiele | DEF | 3.5 | 4 |
| Andersen | DEF | 3.1 | 3 |
| GW | Chip | xPts | Actual | Avg | vs Avg | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | 57.3 | 82 | 54 | +28 | +28 |
| 2 | FH | 80.5 | 57 | 51 | +6 | +34 |
| 3 | WC | 72.8 | 60 | 48 | +12 | +46 |
| 4 | BB | 66.5 | 97 | 63 | +34 | +80 |
| 5 | — | 60.0 | 70 | 42 | +28 | +108 |
| 6 | — | 68.1 | 49 | 46 | +3 | +111 |
| 7 | TC | 70.2 | 92 | 60 | +32 | +143 |
| 8 | — | 66.2 | 103 | 56 | +47 | +190 |
| 9 | — | 65.2 | 51 | 46 | +5 | +195 |
| 10 | — | 63.8 | 75 | 65 | +10 | +205 |
| 11 | — | 59.9 | 53 | 38 | +15 | +220 |
| Total | 730.4 | 789 | 569 | +220 |