Points: 45 · FPL avg: 58 · vs avg: -13 · Cumulative: +258 · Predicted: 63.8 xPts · Chip: — · Hits: 0 · Bank: £7.1m · FT: 1
The model badly overestimated this week, projecting 63.8 xPts against a return of just 45, with the miss concentrated at the top of the squad: Fernandes delivered only 4 points as captain and Anderson just 2 as vice, combining for roughly 14 points below expectation in those two slots alone. Pickford (7) and Calafiori (7) both doubled their xPts and softened the blow, but a clean failure from the three highest-projected midfielders — Rice, Anderson, and the captained Fernandes — dragged the week 13 below the FPL average. No transfers were made and no chip deployed, so this was a straightforward model miss with no mitigating decisions to unpick.
(No transfers this week.)
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calafiori | DEF | 4.2 | 7 |
| Saka | MID | 5.0 | 6 |
| Rice | MID | 6.3 | 3 |
| Truffert | DEF | 4.2 | 4 |
| Tavernier | MID | 4.9 | 1 |
| Mateta | FWD | 4.8 | 2 |
| Pickford | GKP | 4.6 | 7 |
| B.Fernandes © (×2) | MID | 7.2 | 4 |
| Anderson (vc) | MID | 7.0 | 2 |
| Bowen | FWD | 4.6 | 5 |
| Mukiele | DEF | 3.7 | 0 |
| Total | 56.6 | 41 |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pope | GKP | 1.3 | 0 |
| Thiago | FWD | 4.0 | 1 |
| Andersen | DEF | 3.1 | 0 |
| Senesi | DEF | 2.1 | 0 |
| GW | Chip | xPts | Actual | Avg | vs Avg | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | 57.3 | 82 | 54 | +28 | +28 |
| 2 | FH | 80.5 | 57 | 51 | +6 | +34 |
| 3 | WC | 72.8 | 60 | 48 | +12 | +46 |
| 4 | BB | 66.5 | 97 | 63 | +34 | +80 |
| 5 | — | 60.0 | 70 | 42 | +28 | +108 |
| 6 | — | 68.1 | 49 | 46 | +3 | +111 |
| 7 | TC | 70.2 | 92 | 60 | +32 | +143 |
| 8 | — | 66.2 | 103 | 56 | +47 | +190 |
| 9 | — | 65.2 | 51 | 46 | +5 | +195 |
| 10 | — | 63.8 | 75 | 65 | +10 | +205 |
| 11 | — | 59.9 | 53 | 38 | +15 | +220 |
| 12 | — | 64.6 | 58 | 39 | +19 | +239 |
| 13 | — | 64.2 | 67 | 35 | +32 | +271 |
| 14 | — | 63.8 | 45 | 58 | -13 | +258 |
| Total | 923.0 | 959 | 701 | +258 |