Points: 50 · FPL avg: 45 · vs avg: +5 · Cumulative: +600 · Predicted: 73.6 xPts · Chip: — · Hits: 0 · Bank: £5.6m · FT: 1
The model badly overestimated this gameweek, projecting 73.6 xPts against an actual return of just 50, with the damage concentrated at the top of the lineup — captain Thiago returned only 2 points against a 7.7 xPts projection, and vice-captain Wirtz blanked entirely and was auto-subbed out for Mané. The Virgil transfer was the clearest bright spot, delivering 11 points on a 6.0 xPts projection and partially offsetting the captaincy disaster. Beating the FPL average by 5 points in a week where both captaincy options failed points to reasonable squad depth, and the cumulative +600 edge remains intact.
| Player | Pos | Cost | xPts | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IN | Virgil | DEF | £5.9m | 6.0 | 11 |
| OUT | H.Bueno | DEF | £4.3m | — | — |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel | DEF | 6.6 | 2 |
| Rice | MID | 6.6 | 4 |
| Rogers | MID | 5.9 | 2 |
| Thiago © (×2) | FWD | 7.7 | 2 |
| João Pedro | FWD | 6.0 | 7 |
| A.Becker | GKP | 5.3 | 7 |
| Virgil | DEF | 6.0 | 11 |
| Wirtz (vc) | MID | 7.2 | 0 |
| B.Fernandes | MID | 4.9 | 2 |
| Anderson | MID | 4.8 | 5 |
| Ballard | DEF | 4.8 | 4 |
| Total | 65.8 | 46 |
| Player | Pos | xPts | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| José Sá | GKP | 2.6 | 2 |
| Mané ↑ | FWD | 4.6 | 2 |
| Alderete | DEF | 4.5 | 1 |
| J.Timber | DEF | 4.5 | 3 |
| GW | Chip | xPts | Actual | Avg | vs Avg | Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | — | 57.3 | 82 | 54 | +28 | +28 |
| 2 | FH | 80.5 | 57 | 51 | +6 | +34 |
| 3 | WC | 72.8 | 60 | 48 | +12 | +46 |
| 4 | BB | 66.5 | 97 | 63 | +34 | +80 |
| 5 | — | 60.0 | 70 | 42 | +28 | +108 |
| 6 | — | 68.1 | 49 | 46 | +3 | +111 |
| 7 | TC | 70.2 | 92 | 60 | +32 | +143 |
| 8 | — | 66.2 | 103 | 56 | +47 | +190 |
| 9 | — | 65.2 | 51 | 46 | +5 | +195 |
| 10 | — | 63.8 | 75 | 65 | +10 | +205 |
| 11 | — | 59.9 | 53 | 38 | +15 | +220 |
| 12 | — | 64.6 | 58 | 39 | +19 | +239 |
| 13 | — | 64.2 | 67 | 35 | +32 | +271 |
| 14 | — | 63.8 | 45 | 58 | -13 | +258 |
| 15 | — | 68.9 | 94 | 49 | +45 | +303 |
| 16 | — | 71.0 | 80 | 60 | +20 | +323 |
| 17 | — | 69.4 | 82 | 66 | +16 | +339 |
| 18 | — | 64.4 | 84 | 44 | +40 | +379 |
| 19 | — | 64.6 | 87 | 40 | +47 | +426 |
| 20 | — | 77.6 | 122 | 42 | +80 | +506 |
| 21 | — | 80.1 | 87 | 48 | +39 | +545 |
| 22 | — | 57.8 | 56 | 40 | +16 | +561 |
| 23 | — | 64.7 | 58 | 44 | +14 | +575 |
| 24 | — | 63.7 | 59 | 55 | +4 | +579 |
| 25 | — | 63.4 | 47 | 58 | -11 | +568 |
| 26 | WC | 109.2 | 85 | 58 | +27 | +595 |
| 27 | — | 73.6 | 50 | 45 | +5 | +600 |
| Total | 1851.4 | 1950 | 1350 | +600 |