GW16 Replay

Points: 80  ·  FPL avg: 60  ·  vs avg: +20  ·  Cumulative: +323  ·  Predicted: 71.0 xPts  ·  Chip: —  ·  Hits: 1  ·  Bank: £3.5m  ·  FT: 1

The model called this week well overall, predicting 71 points against an actual haul of 80, with the outperformance driven largely by Fernandes (13), Ekitiké (13), Saka (11), and Foden (11) all exceeding their projections. The Ekitiké transfer landed perfectly — his 13-point return more than offset the 4-point hit, vindicating the decision to move on from Mateta despite the cost, though Collins largely cancelled out on the other side with a flat 4 against an xPts of 6.3. Bowen’s 8-point haul from the bench is the one sting, but a 20-point beat on the FPL average keeps the cumulative margin healthy at +323.