GW Points: 52 · Overall Rank: 3,791,718 · Bench pts: 21 · Chip: —
52 points was a below-average return, with 21 unused bench points indicating poor differential selection between the active squad and reserves rather than bad luck on players fielded. The Calvert-Lewin captaincy delivered 7 points against an xPts of 4.02, so it outperformed its model expectation, but leaving 4 points on the table with Gabriel as the better in-squad option suggests the pick was defensible on pre-GW data rather than clearly wrong. All three top missed players were defenders — De Cuyper flagged as lucky, making it a genuine surprise, while Guéhi and Tarkowski both carried form signals pre-GW, meaning two of the three misses were at least partially predictable and point to a structural underweight on in-form defenders that week.
| Player | Pos | Team | xPts | Actual | GW Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martinez | GKP | AVL | 4.1 | 6 | 6 |
| Virgil | DEF | LIV | 4.3 | 2 | 2 |
| Hill (vc) | DEF | BOU | 4.2 | 6 | 6 |
| Thiaw | DEF | NEW | 3.0 | 2 | 2 |
| Rogers | MID | AVL | 5.8 | 2 | 2 |
| Rice | MID | ARS | 6.0 | 3 | 3 |
| Rayan | MID | BOU | 4.4 | 9 | 9 |
| Ndiaye | MID | EVE | 4.1 | 2 | 2 |
| Scott | MID | BOU | 3.7 | 4 | 4 |
| Calvert-Lewin © | FWD | LEE | 4.0 | 7 | 14 |
| Thiago | FWD | BRE | 4.9 | 2 | 2 |
| Dúbravka | GKP | BUR | 4.3 | 0 | 0 |
| Gabriel | DEF | ARS | 5.3 | 11 | 0 |
| Alderete | DEF | SUN | 3.6 | 8 | 0 |
| Bowen | FWD | WHU | 3.7 | 2 | 0 |
| Player | xPts pre-GW | Actual | vs Picked | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Picked © | Calvert-Lewin | 4.0 | 7 | — |
| Best in squad | Gabriel | 5.3 | 11 | +4 |
| Best overall | De Cuyper | 1.5 | 15 | +8 |
| Player | Pos | Team | Actual | xPts | Signals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De Cuyper | DEF | BHA | 15 | 1.5 | ✗lucky |
| Guéhi | DEF | MCI | 15 | 4.7 | ↑form |
| Tarkowski | DEF | EVE | 15 | 3.6 | ↑form |
| Dunk | DEF | BHA | 14 | 2.1 | ↑form ✗lucky |
| Marmoush | MID | MCI | 14 | 1.8 | ✗lucky |
| Donnarumma | GKP | MCI | 14 | 4.6 | — |
| Foden | MID | MCI | 13 | 2.9 | ✗lucky |
| Semenyo | MID | MCI | 12 | 4.2 | — |
| Doku | MID | MCI | 12 | 3.6 | ↑form |
| Anderson | MID | NFO | 12 | 4.3 | ↑form |