GW Points: 38 · Overall Rank: 3,301,886 · Bench pts: 0 · Chip: —
38 points is a below-average haul, likely driven by the captain pick — Rogers at 2pts against a 5.08 xPts projection suggests the model had reasonable confidence but variance didn’t go our way, and leaving 8 points on the table with Bowen compounds the damage. Igor Jesus (14pts) and Gibbs-White (13pts) are the more frustrating misses: Gibbs-White carried a credible 5.35 xPts signal and form backing, making him a near-miss selection call, while Jesus’s haul looks more like an in-form upside swing that was harder to anticipate. Mac Allister’s 13pts is flagged lucky, so that’s noise rather than a structural squad gap.
| Player | Pos | Team | xPts | Actual | GW Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henderson | GKP | CRY | 2.9 | 0 | 0 |
| Virgil | DEF | LIV | 4.9 | 4 | 4 |
| Gabriel | DEF | ARS | 5.3 | 8 | 8 |
| Alderete | DEF | SUN | 3.0 | 0 | 0 |
| Thiaw | DEF | NEW | 3.4 | 2 | 2 |
| Rogers © | MID | AVL | 5.1 | 2 | 4 |
| Rice | MID | ARS | 5.1 | 2 | 2 |
| B.Fernandes | MID | MUN | 5.1 | 5 | 5 |
| Ndiaye (vc) | MID | EVE | 4.9 | 2 | 2 |
| Thiago | FWD | BRE | 4.9 | 1 | 1 |
| Bowen | FWD | WHU | 4.6 | 10 | 10 |
| Dúbravka | GKP | BUR | 4.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Hill | DEF | BOU | 3.7 | 0 | 0 |
| Gordon | MID | NEW | 2.2 | 0 | 0 |
| João Pedro | FWD | CHE | 3.2 | 0 | 0 |
| Player | xPts pre-GW | Actual | vs Picked | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Picked © | Rogers | 5.1 | 2 | — |
| Best in squad | Bowen | 4.6 | 10 | +8 |
| Best overall | Igor Jesus | 3.7 | 14 | +12 |
| Player | Pos | Team | Actual | xPts | Signals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Jesus | FWD | NFO | 14 | 3.7 | ↑form |
| Mac Allister | MID | LIV | 13 | 2.4 | ✗lucky |
| Gibbs-White | MID | NFO | 13 | 5.3 | ✓model xPts:5.35 ↑form |
| Casemiro | MID | MUN | 12 | 3.5 | ↑form |
| Andersen | DEF | FUL | 11 | 2.9 | ✗lucky |
| Sessegnon | MID | FUL | 11 | 2.4 | ✗lucky |
| Raya | GKP | ARS | 10 | 4.0 | ↑form |
| Jensen | MID | BRE | 10 | 2.9 | ↑form ✗lucky |
| Souček | MID | WHU | 10 | 3.2 | — |
| Aina | DEF | NFO | 9 | 2.8 | ↑form |